How Nvidia’s fortunes are deteriorating

Because of its rapid growth, one may assume that Nvidia is invincible, but according to statistics from the second quarter of fiscal 2026, the chip giant’s data center compute revenue is dropping for the first time in ten years.

Despite being minor, the decline might be a game-changer for the business that spearheaded the growth in AI hardware.

Nvidia announced record total sales, but a graph posted by The Next Platform suggests that a dangerous plateau is forming in the GPU behemoth’s main data center compute business.

How Nvidia's fortunes are deteriorating 1

There’s no reason to panic… yet

The slide (seen above) indicated that sales of the GPUs and CPUs that power Nvidia’s AI infrastructure fell 0.9 percent compared to the previous quarter.

That isn’t a significant reduction, but it is the first consecutive decline since data center compute became Nvidia’s primary source of growth.

In contrast, networking revenues have nearly doubled for InfiniBand networking, while Ethernet and other interconnects have also seen significant increases.

The combined networking segment’s $7.25 billion sales for the July quarter indicates that consumers are increasingly investing in interconnects that link large-scale AI clusters.

Nvidia’s leadership is under further pressure as a result of the change, as export restrictions to China have already reduced anticipated compute sales.

On the results conference, CEO Jensen Huang emphasized that while fiscal 2026 and 2027 would continue to be record years, the data center chart’s curve remains a cause for worry.

The company’s dependence on a limited number of clients, as we have covered, is another concern.

Only three unidentified clients now account for more than half of data center income, with one serving as the primary source of more than 20% of sales.

In the most recent quarter, the report noted $9.5 billion from Customer A, $6.6 billion from Customer B, and $5.7 billion from Customer C.

Nvidia has become one of the most valuable firms in the world because of an increase in GPU sales, but history demonstrates that expansion curves ultimately need to level down.

According to Huang, data center compute growth of 50% can go on for years, although slower paths may be required by market conditions.

Nvidia’s Blackwell GPUs are still in high demand right now; supply is expected to run out until next year.

Although the business is still working on new platforms, the revenue plateau suggests that Nvidia’s supremacy may be about to enter a more uncertain era.

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