JPMorgan turns bullish about crypto in 2026 despite downturn

The October 10 crash has not yet caused the cryptocurrency market to revive. A month ago, the market capitalization of all digital assets was $3.1 trillion; now, it is $2.3 trillion.

Bitcoin (BTC), the most popular cryptocurrency, is currently trading at $67,610.98, having lost over 25% of its value in just one month. The second-largest cryptocurrency, Ether (ETH), is currently trading at $1,950.28 after losing over 35% of its value in the same time frame.

According to CoinGlass, “extreme fear” has been indicated for months by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which is currently at 12.

Now, the cryptocurrency community is worried that the current winter might be worse than 2022. Although no well-known companies like FTX have gone bankrupt, a number of well-known cryptocurrency businesses have declared bankruptcy or closed in recent months.

Bitcoin might drop to as low as $40,000 in the next six to eight months, according to a chief equity strategist.

JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JMP) remains optimistic about cryptocurrencies in 2026, despite the market drop and the subsequent adverse mood.

In terms of market capitalization, JPMorgan is the largest bank in the world, and it depends on institutional investors in cryptocurrency.

CoinDesk noted that the bank recently contended that gains for digital assets might be consolidated through institutional inflows and legal clarity. In a research, analysts lead by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou stated, “We are optimistic about the crypto markets for 2026 as we anticipate a further increase in the flow of digital assets, but more at the hands of institutional investors.”

The current production cost of Bitcoin, according to JPMorgan analysts, is approximately $77,000, which might lead to a new equilibrium following miner surrender.

JPMorgan analysts estimate Bitcoin’s current production cost at around $77,000, indicating a potential new equilibrium following miner surrender.

If BTC continues to trade below the aforementioned production cost for an extended period of time, miners may be forced to shut down operations. According to the bank, this might cut Bitcoin’s production costs, resulting in self-correction.

Previously, the bank stated that the higher volatility of gold in comparison to Bitcoin makes the latter “more attractive.”

JPMorgan anticipates that institutional investors, not individual traders or treasuries of digital assets, will propel a resurgence in cryptocurrency flows in 2026. This year’s cryptocurrency recovery would probably be aided by greater regulatory clarity in the United States, such as the Clarity Act’s advancement, the Wall Street bank predicted.

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